Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.632504 0.724014 0.823251 0.938748 1.069364 1.212383 1.380737
2025-02-09 0.483812 0.605231 0.747982 0.927740 1.147576 1.407173 1.736449
2025-02-16 0.376609 0.511744 0.682962 0.914734 1.219077 1.603750 2.125317
2025-02-23 0.300018 0.440574 0.631542 0.907941 1.295359 1.816270 2.566385
2025-03-02 0.242840 0.383610 0.587774 0.902211 1.370228 2.036071 3.048701
2025-03-09 0.203713 0.344474 0.561377 0.915112 1.471352 2.304336 3.635148
2025-03-16 0.168340 0.303794 0.524897 0.905513 1.535663 2.525499 4.180781
2025-03-23 0.145853 0.279578 0.509773 0.926186 1.648727 2.833855 4.898936
2025-03-30 0.122660 0.249353 0.478985 0.914723 1.705587 3.057368 5.506562
2025-04-06 0.107366 0.230567 0.464822 0.929408 1.808202 3.367926 6.295971
2025-04-13 0.090153 0.204496 0.432508 0.904902 1.835519 3.549214 6.879508
2025-04-20 0.081591 0.194459 0.429375 0.935482 1.969254 3.936114 7.876920
2025-04-27 0.075056 0.187755 0.432313 0.979562 2.137113 4.409718 9.098277
2025-05-04 0.066336 0.174338 0.418854 0.987411 2.233077 4.756873 10.118046
2025-05-11 0.058240 0.160707 0.402568 0.986473 2.310364 5.075820 11.118697
2025-05-18 0.051454 0.148880 0.388328 0.987747 2.392305 5.413269 12.194792
2025-05-25 0.045516 0.137967 0.374328 0.987240 2.469909 5.749978 13.306325
2025-06-01 0.041303 0.130830 0.368390 1.005134 2.592041 6.196072 14.700916
2025-06-08 0.036435 0.120737 0.353090 0.997190 2.651605 6.509802 15.837537
2025-06-15 0.033521 0.115781 0.350530 1.021552 2.793030 7.024495 17.480775
2025-06-22 0.029607 0.106833 0.335411 1.010117 2.842969 7.331493 18.677123
2025-06-29 0.027127 0.101923 0.330895 1.027005 2.968130 7.831129 20.379396
2025-07-06 0.023621 0.092728 0.312113 1.000580 2.974971 8.042883 21.410296